Democrat Senate candidate James Talarico’s private polling shows his Texas race against Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton far closer than the high-profile public surveys that have handed him a lead, according to a report published Saturday.
\n\nA New York Times/Siena University poll in September and a CNN/SSRS poll conducted Oct. 20 to 27 showed Talarico ahead by 6 points, but other recent surveys put him either tied with Paxton or holding a 2-point lead inside the margin of error. The candidate’s internal numbers match those tighter surveys, people close to the campaign told the Times.
\n\nThose same people said the internal polling may not be fully capturing one bloc in particular. The surveys “may not be fully capturing the sentiments of rural conservative voters who support Mr. Trump,” the Times reported, citing people close to Talarico.
\n\n“I think James has at most a 50 percent chance of winning,” said Luke Warford, chairman of the Travis County Democratic Party, who called even a coin-flip phenomenal for a Texas Democrat.
\n\nA Fox News survey in early October gave the Austin Democrat a 2-point edge, 51% to 49%, within the margin of error. A later Fox poll found the two tied at 49.
Original source: https://www.breitbart.com/tech/